Traders › JSG3
JSG3: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x0191…541d · Tailwhale rank #75 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
59/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+9.4 pts
Win rate
59% of positions
Markets traded
70 in 180 days
PnL: $108,568 this month · ROI on closed positions 15.2%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
59.3 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 38/100 | 15.3 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +9.4 pts on 67 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 39/100 | 7.8 | Return with the three best positions removed (+7.8%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 70 | 6.2 | 70 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +9.4 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 67 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +9.1 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 59% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $100,527 |
| sports | $12,457 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Yes | Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | 85¢ | $2,965 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought Yes | Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | 80¢ | $1,992 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought Yes | Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader? | 66¢ | $653 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought No | Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | 81¢ | $918 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought Yes | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | 15¢ | $491 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought No | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | 88¢ | $6,633 |
| 2026-11-04 | Sold No | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | 4¢ | $45 |
| 2026-11-03 | Bought Yes | Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | 3¢ | $64 |
| 2026-11-03 | Bought Yes | Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | 4¢ | $380 |
| 2026-11-03 | Bought Yes | Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | 2¢ | $210 |
| 2026-11-03 | Bought No | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | 35¢ | $70 |
| 2026-11-03 | Bought Yes | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | 62¢ | $4,224 |
| 2026-11-03 | Bought Yes | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | 11¢ | $693 |
| 2026-11-03 | Bought No | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | 62¢ | $6,475 |
| 2026-11-03 | Bought Yes | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 95¢ | $47,500 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.