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juice-fruit: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x5fdd…a747 · Tailwhale rank #165 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
44/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+0.9 pts
Win rate
56% of positions
Markets traded
110 in 180 days
PnL: $804,363 this month · $1,146,735 all time · ROI on closed positions 15.7%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
43.5 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 2/100 | 0.8 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +0.9 pts on 110 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 29/100 | 5.8 | Return with the three best positions removed (+5.8%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 110 | 6.8 | 110 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +0.9 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 110 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +0.9 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 56% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $1,053,979 |
| esports | $92,756 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Commanders vs. Giants | 43¢ | $38 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Commanders vs. Giants | 43¢ | $11,208 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Commanders vs. Giants | 41¢ | $18,655 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Commanders vs. Giants | 41¢ | $11 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Commanders vs. Giants | 42¢ | $3,377 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Commanders vs. Giants | 42¢ | $46,667 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Commanders vs. Giants | 42¢ | $63,925 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Commanders vs. Giants | 45¢ | $13,452 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Commanders vs. Giants | 45¢ | $53,207 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Commanders vs. Giants | 45¢ | $61,449 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Linda Noskova | WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova | 58¢ | $536 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Linda Noskova | WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova | 58¢ | $130,294 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Linda Noskova | WTA Finals, Group A: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskova | 57¢ | $41,744 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Marta Kostyuk | WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff | 22¢ | $13,075 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Marta Kostyuk | WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Coco Gauff | 23¢ | $35 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.