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justwins: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xa2cc…0cbc · Tailwhale rank #200 by skill · ★★☆☆☆
Skill Score
39/100 · 2★
Beat the odds
+2.3 pts
Win rate
52% of positions
Markets traded
220 in 180 days
PnL: $1,051,732 this month · ROI on closed positions 14.4%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 2 stars: the score breakdown
38.6 out of 100 → 2★ (20–39.9 = 2★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 13/100 | 5.1 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.3 pts on 220 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 21/100 | 4.2 | Return with the three best positions removed (+4.2%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 43/100 | 6.4 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 220 | 7.8 | 220 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +2.3 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 220 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +2.3 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 52% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $192,230 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Under | Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5 | 50¢ | $6,398 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Under | Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 | 51¢ | $682 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Fresno State | Spread: Texas State (-9.5) | 48¢ | $7,860 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Notre Dame | Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5) | 49¢ | $2,458 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Vikings | Vikings vs. Packers | 41¢ | $4,226 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Over | Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5 | 49¢ | $27 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Blue Jackets | Lightning vs. Blue Jackets | 51¢ | $109 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Indiana | Spread: Indiana (-8.5) | 50¢ | $97 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Under | Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5 | 52¢ | $6,487 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Under | Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5 | 51¢ | $6,660 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Maple Leafs | Wild vs. Maple Leafs | 38¢ | $386 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Raptors | Spread: Celtics (-4.5) | 48¢ | $4,073 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Under | Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5 | 49¢ | $57 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Under | Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 | 51¢ | $9,509 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Under | Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5 | 50¢ | $3,664 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.