Traders › Kch-Temp

Kch-Temp: Polymarket trader record

Wallet 0x9243…658e · Tailwhale rank #182 by skill · ★★★☆☆

Skill Score

42/100 · 3★

Beat the odds

+2.3 pts

Win rate

54% of positions

Markets traded

524 in 180 days

PnL: – · $2,177,422 all time · ROI on closed positions 7.8%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.

Why 3 stars: the score breakdown

41.6 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).

PartWeightValuePointsWhat it means
Edge40%14/1005.6Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.3 pts on 526 resolved positions.
Robustness20%22/1004.4Return with the three best positions removed (+4.4%); full marks at +20%.
Breadth15%100/10015.0Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable.
Consistency15%50/1007.5Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit.
Markets traded10%5249.1524 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000.
Beat the odds–+2.3 pts–Average of outcome minus entry price over 526 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result.
Calibration–+2.3 pts–Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points.
Win rate–54%–Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little).

Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.

Category record

CategoryAll-time PnL
sports$2,177,422

Recent trades

Date (UTC)SideMarketPriceSize
2026-11-14Bought Elina SvitolinaWTA Finals, Final Stage: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina39¢$18,808
2026-11-13Bought AzerbaijanSpread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)54¢$6,499
2026-11-13Bought AzerbaijanSpread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)54¢$12,075
2026-11-13Bought NoWill Moldova win on 2026-11-13?60¢$8,517
2026-11-13Bought Taylor FritzBNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti60¢$33
2026-11-13Bought Taylor FritzBNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti60¢$4,871
2026-11-12Bought CommandersSpread: Giants (-2.5)53¢$76,896
2026-11-12Bought CommandersCommanders vs. Giants45¢$106,690
2026-11-12Bought CommandersCommanders vs. Giants46¢$71,481
2026-11-09Bought OverBills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.550¢$15,385
2026-11-09Bought OverBills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.550¢$31,007
2026-11-09Bought OverBills vs. Vikings: O/U 44.549¢$18,093
2026-11-09Bought Borna GojoBNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo28¢$248
2026-11-08Bought RaidersSpread: 49ers (-9.5)50¢$69,933
2026-11-08Bought RaidersSpread: 49ers (-9.5)51¢$20,546

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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.