Traders › klli27
klli27: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xc04e…c1f9 · Tailwhale rank #56 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
67/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+0.9 pts
Win rate
34% of positions
Markets traded
1,725 in 180 days
PnL: $292,040 this month · ROI on closed positions 26.3%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
66.7 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 22/100 | 8.6 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +0.9 pts on 1390 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 90/100 | 18.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (+18.0%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1725 | 10.0 | 1725 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +0.9 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1390 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +1.2 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 34% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $21,654 |
| finance | $6,250 |
| tech | $2,188 |
| culture | $1,719 |
| sports | $1,018 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | Sold Yes | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | 45¢ | $1,790 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | 23¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | 17¢ | $15 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? | 100¢ | $86 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 99¢ | $69 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 100¢ | $69 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 100¢ | $69 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 12? | 64¢ | $13 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on November 12? | 93¢ | $17 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on November 12? | 100¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on November 12? | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 12? | 100¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 12? | 100¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C or higher on November 12? | 100¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on November 12? | 100¢ | $20 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.