Traders › korda77
korda77: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xa328…4977 · Tailwhale rank #3 by skill · ★★★★★
Skill Score
98/100 · 5★
Beat the odds
+2.0 pts
Win rate
37% of positions
Markets traded
1,814 in 180 days
PnL: $143,559 this month · ROI on closed positions 34.2%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 5 stars: the score breakdown
97.5 out of 100 → 5★ (80–100 = 5★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 94/100 | 37.5 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.0 pts on 1289 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 100/100 | 20.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (+29.5%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1814 | 10.0 | 1814 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +2.0 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1289 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +3.4 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 37% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $43,718 |
| culture | $8,772 |
| finance | $6,848 |
| sports | $6,016 |
| tech | $1,648 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Lin Chun-hsien win the next Tainan Mayor election? | 100¢ | $54 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Lin Yi-feng win the next Tainan Mayor election? | 100¢ | $54 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Nepal win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $140 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will South Korea win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 97¢ | $136 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Laos win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 97¢ | $136 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Mongolia win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $140 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Philippines win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 37¢ | $52 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Bhutan win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $140 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Cambodia win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $140 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Thailand win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $140 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Vietnam win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 98¢ | $138 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Nepal win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $54 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Laos win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 97¢ | $52 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will South Korea win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 97¢ | $52 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Cambodia win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $54 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.