Traders › Libratus007
Libratus007: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x3c66…0491 · Tailwhale rank #65 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
62/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+21.1 pts
Win rate
77% of positions
Markets traded
30 in 180 days
PnL: $67,517 this month · ROI on closed positions 24.4%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
61.6 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 67/100 | 26.6 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +21.1 pts on 30 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (-1.4%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 30 | 4.9 | 30 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +21.1 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 30 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +21.1 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 77% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $70,408 |
| finance | $4,408 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Oilers | Spread: Oilers (-1.5) | 37¢ | $349 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Oilers | Spread: Oilers (-2.5) | 25¢ | $351 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Oilers | Flyers vs. Oilers | 56¢ | $3,246 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Oilers | Flyers vs. Oilers | 56¢ | $318 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | 34¢ | $2,550 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Oilers | Flyers vs. Oilers | 64¢ | $6,400 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought Oilers | Rangers vs. Oilers | 60¢ | $19,581 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought Oilers | Rangers vs. Oilers | 60¢ | $12,867 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Oilers | Rangers vs. Oilers | 59¢ | $2,773 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought Oilers | Canucks vs. Oilers | 77¢ | $12,543 |
| 2026-11-06 | Bought Oilers | Ducks vs. Oilers | 50¢ | $4,000 |
| 2026-11-06 | Bought Oilers | Ducks vs. Oilers | 49¢ | $468 |
| 2026-11-06 | Bought Oilers | Ducks vs. Oilers | 49¢ | $1,633 |
| 2026-11-06 | Bought Oilers | Ducks vs. Oilers | 49¢ | $1,225 |
| 2026-11-06 | Bought Oilers | Ducks vs. Oilers | 48¢ | $1,436 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.