Traders › lightotunnel35
lightotunnel35: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xeecc…8392 · Tailwhale rank #38 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
76/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+10.6 pts
Win rate
60% of positions
Markets traded
257 in 180 days
PnL: $72,187 this month · ROI on closed positions 6.1%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
76.1 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 88/100 | 35.4 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +10.6 pts on 261 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 14/100 | 2.7 | Return with the three best positions removed (+2.7%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 257 | 8.0 | 257 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +10.6 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 261 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +10.6 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 60% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $70,554 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Baylor | Spread: BYU (-8.5) | 50¢ | $5,487 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Duke | Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5) | 48¢ | $2,710 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Duke | Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5) | 48¢ | $4,928 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Houston | Spread: Houston (-7.5) | 8¢ | $568 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Houston | Spread: Houston (-7.5) | 13¢ | $1,050 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Illinois | Spread: UCLA (-13.5) | 59¢ | $680 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Illinois | Spread: UCLA (-13.5) | 59¢ | $1,140 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Houston | Spread: Houston (-7.5) | 49¢ | $7,542 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Florida State | Florida State vs. Pittsburgh | 80¢ | $1,486 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Florida State | Florida State vs. Pittsburgh | 60¢ | $239 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Over | Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5 | 3¢ | $24 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Pacers | Spread: Knicks (-9.5) | 79¢ | $479 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Over | Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5 | 1¢ | $17 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Over | Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5 | 2¢ | $11 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Over | Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5 | 5¢ | $48 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.