Traders › lonmi2511
lonmi2511: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x997c…51f3 · Tailwhale rank #50 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
68/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+5.4 pts
Win rate
61% of positions
Markets traded
1,861 in 180 days
PnL: $253,724 this month · ROI on closed positions 12.1%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
67.7 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 82/100 | 32.7 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +5.4 pts on 2057 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 31/100 | 6.3 | Return with the three best positions removed (+6.3%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 50/100 | 7.5 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 75/100 | 11.2 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1861 | 10.0 | 1861 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +5.4 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 2057 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +5.4 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 61% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| esports | $188,874 |
| sports | −$1,588 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Plymouth Argyle FC win on 2026-11-14? | 69¢ | $17 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Reading FC win on 2026-11-14? | 79¢ | $15 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought FURIA | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | 83¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought FURIA | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | 72¢ | $1,023 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought FURIA | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | 58¢ | $36,940 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought FURIA | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | 45¢ | $3,500 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought FURIA | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | 43¢ | $199 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought FURIA | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | 39¢ | $2,010 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought FURIA | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | 65¢ | $53 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought FURIA | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | 65¢ | $174 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought FURIA | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | 65¢ | $746 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Team Falcons | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | 63¢ | $141 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought FURIA | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | 73¢ | $7,942 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-11-14? | 70¢ | $17 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought FURIA | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | 57¢ | $1,465 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.