Traders › LonnieHawkinss
LonnieHawkinss: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xa797…dede · Tailwhale rank #17 by skill · ★★★★★
Skill Score
86/100 · 5★
Beat the odds
+8.6 pts
Win rate
69% of positions
Markets traded
1,136 in 180 days
PnL: $141,474 this month · ROI on closed positions 7.5%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 5 stars: the score breakdown
85.9 out of 100 → 5★ (80–100 = 5★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 100/100 | 40.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +8.6 pts on 1229 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 30/100 | 5.9 | Return with the three best positions removed (+5.9%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1136 | 10.0 | 1136 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +8.6 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1229 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +8.6 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 69% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $397,716 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Chile leading at halftime? | 97¢ | $78 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Uruguay win on 2026-11-13? | 82¢ | $80 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Uruguay | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | 99¢ | $151 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Over | Argentina vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5 | 74¢ | $28 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Will Argentina win on 2026-11-13? | 81¢ | $132 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Will Argentina win on 2026-11-13? | 79¢ | $500 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Uruguay win on 2026-11-13? | 20¢ | $19 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Argentina win on 2026-11-13? | 55¢ | $3,401 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Chile leading at halftime? | 88¢ | $1,677 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Chile leading at halftime? | 89¢ | $1,694 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold Yes | Will Slovenia win on 2026-11-13? | 14¢ | $42 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold Over | Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 | 55¢ | $786 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold No | Will Switzerland win on 2026-11-13? | 48¢ | $399 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Switzerland win on 2026-11-13? | 48¢ | $2,748 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Over | Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | $929 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.