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luckycat888888: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x0b5e…9367 · Tailwhale rank #128 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
49/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+4.1 pts
Win rate
53% of positions
Markets traded
338 in 180 days
PnL: $88,457 this month · ROI on closed positions 8.1%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
49 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 32/100 | 12.6 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +4.1 pts on 340 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 27/100 | 5.4 | Return with the three best positions removed (+5.4%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 50/100 | 7.5 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 338 | 8.4 | 338 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +4.1 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 340 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +4.1 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 53% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $53,792 |
| esports | $51,776 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Team Falcons | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | 49¢ | $4,355 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Spirit | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | 43¢ | $2,987 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Under | Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 211.5 | 57¢ | $5,700 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Warriors | Spread: Spurs (-38.5) | 52¢ | $636 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Warriors | Spread: Spurs (-38.5) | 52¢ | $229 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Warriors | Spread: Spurs (-38.5) | 52¢ | $258 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Warriors | Spread: Spurs (-38.5) | 51¢ | $799 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Clippers | Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | 55¢ | $5,500 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Bulls | Spread: Hawks (-2.5) | 100¢ | $9,990 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Grizzlies | Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) | 100¢ | $9,990 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Under | Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5 | 55¢ | $5,500 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Trail Blazers | Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) | 52¢ | $5,200 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Cavaliers | Spread: Heat (-2.5) | 54¢ | $5,400 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Cavaliers | Spread: Heat (-2.5) | 54¢ | $5,400 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Bucks | Spread: Magic (-17.5) | 100¢ | $2,910 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.