Traders › merod
merod: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x8373…f0bc · Tailwhale rank #26 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
80/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+0.6 pts
Win rate
31% of positions
Markets traded
1,731 in 180 days
PnL: $178,580 this month · ROI on closed positions 20.8%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
79.7 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 58/100 | 23.2 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +0.6 pts on 1048 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 82/100 | 16.4 | Return with the three best positions removed (+16.4%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1731 | 10.0 | 1731 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +0.6 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1048 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +2.1 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 31% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $41,485 |
| culture | $7,860 |
| sports | $4,634 |
| finance | $2,785 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Kuwait win on 2026-11-17? | 100¢ | $199 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | 100¢ | $27 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting? | 84¢ | $23 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | 100¢ | $27 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | 100¢ | $27 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Cambodia win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $23 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Bhutan win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $23 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Philippines win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 47¢ | $11 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Nepal win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $23 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Bangladesh win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $23 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Mongolia win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $23 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Thailand win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 100¢ | $23 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will South Korea win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 97¢ | $22 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Malaysia win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 72¢ | $16 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Vietnam win Eurovision Asia 2026? | 98¢ | $23 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.