Traders › mrworldwide

mrworldwide: Polymarket trader record

Wallet 0x98d0…f14a · Tailwhale rank #20 by skill · ★★★★★

Skill Score

84/100 · 5★

Beat the odds

+6.4 pts

Win rate

73% of positions

Markets traded

1,105 in 180 days

PnL: $110,172 this month · ROI on closed positions 13.0%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.

Why 5 stars: the score breakdown

84.1 out of 100 → 5★ (80–100 = 5★; every 20 points is one star).

PartWeightValuePointsWhat it means
Edge40%100/10040.0Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +6.4 pts on 1264 resolved positions.
Robustness20%58/10011.6Return with the three best positions removed (+11.6%); full marks at +20%.
Breadth15%50/1007.5Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable.
Consistency15%100/10015.0Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit.
Markets traded10%110510.01105 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000.
Beat the odds–+6.4 pts–Average of outcome minus entry price over 1264 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result.
Calibration–+6.4 pts–Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points.
Win rate–73%–Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little).

Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.

Category record

CategoryAll-time PnL
politics$294,517
sports−$2,880

Recent trades

Date (UTC)SideMarketPriceSize
2026-11-14Bought YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 5%-10%?75¢$412
2026-11-14Bought YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 20%-25%?97¢$449
2026-11-14Bought YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election by 15%-20%?95¢$523
2026-11-14Bought YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-15 House election by 6% or more?96¢$106
2026-11-14Bought YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-06 House election by 6%-9%?97¢$232
2026-11-14Bought YesWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 40%-45%?97¢$530
2026-11-14Bought YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 0%-3%?95¢$355
2026-11-13Bought YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 20%-25%?95¢$962
2026-11-13Bought YesWill Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 3%-6%?87¢$1,521
2026-11-13Bought YesWill Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 3%-6%?86¢$1,253
2026-11-12Bought YesWill Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 3%-6%?83¢$1,286
2026-11-12Bought NoWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?45¢$69
2026-11-12Bought NoWill Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?89¢$1,499
2026-11-12Bought YesWill Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?83¢$496
2026-11-12Bought YesWill Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?72¢$843

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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.