Traders › palegrit
palegrit: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xf5fa…62df · Tailwhale rank #191 by skill · ★★☆☆☆
Skill Score
40/100 · 2★
Beat the odds
+5.1 pts
Win rate
75% of positions
Markets traded
24 in 180 days
PnL: – · $1,652,193 all time · ROI on closed positions 14.7%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 2 stars: the score breakdown
40 out of 100 → 2★ (20–39.9 = 2★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 13/100 | 5.4 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +5.1 pts on 24 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (-0.3%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 24 | 4.6 | 24 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +5.1 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 24 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +5.1 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 75% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $1,652,193 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Bought Jannik Sinner | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | 82¢ | $12 |
| 2026-07-12 | Bought Jannik Sinner | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | 82¢ | $6,255 |
| 2026-07-12 | Bought Jannik Sinner | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | 82¢ | $148,285 |
| 2026-07-12 | Bought Jannik Sinner | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | 82¢ | $14,162 |
| 2026-07-12 | Bought Jannik Sinner | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | 82¢ | $246,298 |
| 2026-07-12 | Bought Jannik Sinner | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | 82¢ | $246,771 |
| 2026-07-12 | Bought Jannik Sinner | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | 82¢ | $492,575 |
| 2026-07-12 | Bought Jannik Sinner | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | 82¢ | $394,011 |
| 2026-07-12 | Bought Jannik Sinner | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | 81¢ | $173,690 |
| 2026-07-12 | Bought Jannik Sinner | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | 81¢ | $595,846 |
| 2026-07-12 | Bought Jannik Sinner | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | 80¢ | $105,890 |
| 2026-07-11 | Bought Karolina Muchova | Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova | 59¢ | $2,941 |
| 2026-07-11 | Bought Karolina Muchova | Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova | 59¢ | $28,253 |
| 2026-07-11 | Bought Karolina Muchova | Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova | 59¢ | $32,718 |
| 2026-07-11 | Bought Karolina Muchova | Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova | 59¢ | $11,734 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.