Traders › Q96s3kwozynxpau

Q96s3kwozynxpau: Polymarket trader record

Wallet 0x2663…ed1f · Tailwhale rank #89 by skill · ★★★☆☆

Skill Score

56/100 · 3★

Beat the odds

+3.8 pts

Win rate

56% of positions

Markets traded

164 in 180 days

PnL: $136,111 this month · ROI on closed positions 41.8%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.

Why 3 stars: the score breakdown

56.3 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).

PartWeightValuePointsWhat it means
Edge40%88/10035.3Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +3.8 pts on 54 resolved positions.
Robustness20%6/1001.2Return with the three best positions removed (+1.2%); full marks at +20%.
Breadth15%67/10010.0Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable.
Consistency15%17/1002.5Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit.
Markets traded10%1647.4164 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000.
Beat the odds–+3.8 pts–Average of outcome minus entry price over 54 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result.
Calibration–+1.7 pts–Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points.
Win rate–56%–Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little).

Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.

Category record

CategoryAll-time PnL
politics$148,994
sports$21,197
esports$4,512
finance$3,573
crypto−$1,241
culture−$1,499

Recent trades

Date (UTC)SideMarketPriceSize
2026-09-25Sold YesWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0¢$87
2026-09-18Sold YesWill Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0¢$10
2026-09-14Sold YesWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0¢$12
2026-09-10Sold YesWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0¢$21
2026-09-09Sold YesWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0¢$162
2026-09-06Sold YesWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0¢$19
2026-09-05Sold YesWill Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0¢$230
2026-09-05Sold YesWill Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0¢$49
2026-09-05Sold YesWill Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?0¢$230
2026-09-05Sold YesWill Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0¢$125
2026-09-04Sold YesWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0¢$75
2026-09-04Sold YesWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0¢$52
2026-09-04Sold YesWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0¢$142
2026-09-02Sold YesWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0¢$83
2026-09-02Sold YesWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?0¢$99

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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.