Traders › Raisuu
Raisuu: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xc4a6…4e4e · Tailwhale rank #185 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
41/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+0.9 pts
Win rate
50% of positions
Markets traded
54 in 180 days
PnL: $162,931 this month · ROI on closed positions 20.6%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
41.4 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 1/100 | 0.4 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +0.9 pts on 54 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 45/100 | 9.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (+9.0%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 75/100 | 11.2 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 54 | 5.8 | 54 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +0.9 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 54 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +0.9 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 50% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $138,612 |
| esports | $12,702 |
| politics | $3,076 |
| finance | −$1,155 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Samuel Sanches | UFC 334: Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | 52¢ | $558 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Under | Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 | 53¢ | $2,512 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Grizzlies | Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | 61¢ | $18,300 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold Team Falcons | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | 100¢ | $9,191 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Team Falcons | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | 68¢ | $5,586 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Pistons | Spread: Pistons (-10.5) | 48¢ | $936 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Pistons | Spread: Pistons (-9.5) | 53¢ | $235 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Under | Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5 | 52¢ | $3,283 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Jazz | Magic vs. Jazz | 38¢ | $752 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026? | 80¢ | $5,856 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | 85¢ | $12,017 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Warriors | Spread: Rockets (-6.5) | 50¢ | $5,000 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | 89¢ | $12,582 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026? | 84¢ | $19 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026? | 85¢ | $6,083 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.