Traders › SadSquid54333
SadSquid54333: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x1449…a618 · Tailwhale rank #116 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
51/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+4.4 pts
Win rate
61% of positions
Markets traded
373 in 180 days
PnL: $66,651 this month · ROI on closed positions 6.5%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
51.4 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 31/100 | 12.4 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +4.4 pts on 398 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 15/100 | 2.9 | Return with the three best positions removed (+2.9%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 83/100 | 12.5 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 373 | 8.6 | 373 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +4.4 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 398 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +4.3 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 61% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $65,399 |
| culture | $2,400 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Bought UNCG Spartans | UNCG Spartans vs. Cornell Big Red | 36¢ | $311 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Commanders | Spread: Giants (-2.5) | 53¢ | $1,611 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Over | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 61¢ | $1,220 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Over | O/U 0.5 Rounds | 61¢ | $1,191 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Celtics | Celtics vs. 76ers | 57¢ | $4,560 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought Vikings | Spread: Bills (-10.5) | 62¢ | $1,647 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought Under | Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 38.5 | 57¢ | $2,194 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Chargers | Texans vs. Chargers | 34¢ | $340 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Chargers | Texans vs. Chargers | 34¢ | $1,020 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Under | Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 30.5 | 60¢ | $1,199 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Under | Broncos vs. Panthers: O/U 40.5 | 63¢ | $2,897 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Chiefs | Jets vs. Chiefs | 73¢ | $245 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Saints | Browns vs. Saints | 82¢ | $2,460 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Falcons | Bengals vs. Falcons | 38¢ | $570 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Under | Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 58.5 | 53¢ | $1,487 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.