Traders › seal7
seal7: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x2b9d…adc0 · Tailwhale rank #68 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
61/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+5.5 pts
Win rate
53% of positions
Markets traded
321 in 180 days
PnL: $85,275 this month · ROI on closed positions 16.1%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
60.6 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 42/100 | 17.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +5.5 pts on 343 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 56/100 | 11.2 | Return with the three best positions removed (+11.2%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 75/100 | 11.2 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 86/100 | 12.9 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 321 | 8.4 | 321 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +5.5 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 343 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +5.4 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 53% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $169,050 |
| sports | $5,502 |
| tech | $2,988 |
| finance | −$9,526 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will ERC win the second-most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 72¢ | $536 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | 2¢ | $155 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Jensen Huang be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | 68¢ | $456 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | 71¢ | $845 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? | 90¢ | $780 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31? | 58¢ | $1,326 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang admits to another affair with a woman by December 31? | 55¢ | $1,658 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026? | 67¢ | $4,050 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 63¢ | $4,105 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | 22¢ | $880 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026? | 82¢ | $11 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | 54¢ | $54 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought Yes | Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET? | 67¢ | $1,550 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought Yes | Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET? | 48¢ | $414 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought Yes | Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11? | 91¢ | $1,261 |
Get alerts when seal7 trades, and see what copying them would really have returned, in the Tailwhale iPhone app. Download on the App Store (coming soon).
The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.