Traders › shekelmeister
shekelmeister: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x5e6e…be00 · Tailwhale rank #175 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
42/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+2.5 pts
Win rate
48% of positions
Markets traded
821 in 180 days
PnL: $390,086 this month · $753,972 all time · ROI on closed positions 6.6%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
42.3 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 18/100 | 7.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.5 pts on 832 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 10/100 | 2.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (+2.0%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 57/100 | 8.6 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 821 | 9.7 | 821 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +2.5 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 832 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +2.5 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 48% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $500,394 |
| esports | $253,577 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Spirit | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | 53¢ | $377 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Spirit | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | 52¢ | $3,157 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Spirit | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | 53¢ | $88 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Spirit | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | 53¢ | $770 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Spirit | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | 51¢ | $1,792 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Bulls | Hawks vs. Bulls | 30¢ | $4,241 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Bulls | Hawks vs. Bulls | 30¢ | $336 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Over | Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5 | 50¢ | $1,547 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold Cavaliers | Cavaliers vs. Heat | 44¢ | $423 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Cavaliers | Cavaliers vs. Heat | 44¢ | $417 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Vitality | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | 58¢ | $503 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Raptors | Spread: 76ers (-7.5) | 52¢ | $1,560 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Raptors | Spread: 76ers (-7.5) | 51¢ | $718 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought FUT Esports | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B | 43¢ | $4,583 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Over | Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5 | 52¢ | $213 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.