Traders › shineforeverr
shineforeverr: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x4e59…e56a · Tailwhale rank #46 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
71/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+3.8 pts
Win rate
85% of positions
Markets traded
374 in 180 days
PnL: $123,230 this month · ROI on closed positions 33.0%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
71.2 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 67/100 | 26.7 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +3.8 pts on 387 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 55/100 | 10.9 | Return with the three best positions removed (+10.9%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 67/100 | 10.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 374 | 8.6 | 374 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +3.8 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 387 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +3.9 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 85% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $165,006 |
| culture | $1,114 |
| politics | −$2,632 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Exact Score: SSV Jahn Regensburg 2 - 0 FC Blau Weiss Linz? | 99¢ | $111 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Under | Tahiti vs. Cook Islands: O/U 7.5 | 100¢ | $205 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Tahiti win on 2026-11-14? | 100¢ | $782 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Over | Tahiti vs. Cook Islands: O/U 1.5 | 77¢ | $112 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Over | Tahiti vs. Cook Islands: O/U 1.5 | 66¢ | $29 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Over | Tahiti vs. Cook Islands: O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | $52 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Over | Tahiti vs. Cook Islands: O/U 2.5 | 67¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Over | Tahiti vs. Cook Islands: O/U 2.5 | 60¢ | $13 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Over | Tahiti vs. Cook Islands: O/U 2.5 | 60¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Over | Tahiti vs. Cook Islands: O/U 2.5 | 59¢ | $134 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Over | Tahiti vs. Cook Islands: O/U 3.5 | 52¢ | $40 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Over | Tahiti vs. Cook Islands: O/U 3.5 | 52¢ | $109 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Over | Tahiti vs. Cook Islands: O/U 3.5 | 52¢ | $80 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Over | Tahiti vs. Cook Islands: O/U 3.5 | 52¢ | $91 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Over | Tahiti vs. Cook Islands: O/U 3.5 | 52¢ | $13 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.