Traders › Siddhartha1
Siddhartha1: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xc95e…1288 · Tailwhale rank #70 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
60/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+6.6 pts
Win rate
55% of positions
Markets traded
207 in 180 days
PnL: $302,181 this month · ROI on closed positions 12.4%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
60.2 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 40/100 | 15.9 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +6.6 pts on 210 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 33/100 | 6.5 | Return with the three best positions removed (+6.5%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 207 | 7.7 | 207 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +6.6 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 210 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +6.5 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 55% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $456,940 |
| politics | $29,523 |
| crypto | $1,973 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Norway | Spread: Norway (-1.5) | 55¢ | $1,556 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 46¢ | $1,284 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Azerbaijan | Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5) | 54¢ | $15,147 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 47¢ | $1,692 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 50¢ | $120 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 50¢ | $953 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 48¢ | $168 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 47¢ | $186 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 45¢ | $310 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 57¢ | $1,259 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 53¢ | $322 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 59¢ | $2,136 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 56¢ | $1,108 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 46¢ | $1,263 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought No | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | 95¢ | $9,912 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.