Traders › Sisyphus-
Sisyphus-: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xf3ce…a57a · Tailwhale rank #126 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
50/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+1.9 pts
Win rate
59% of positions
Markets traded
1,284 in 180 days
PnL: $156,810 this month · ROI on closed positions 6.9%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
49.5 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 19/100 | 7.8 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +1.9 pts on 1307 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 30/100 | 6.1 | Return with the three best positions removed (+6.1%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 71/100 | 10.7 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1284 | 10.0 | 1284 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +1.9 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1307 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +1.9 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 59% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| esports | $595,511 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought DO KONCA | Dota 2: DO KONCA vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A | 74¢ | $6,521 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought DO KONCA | Dota 2: DO KONCA vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A | 76¢ | $5,398 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought DO KONCA | Dota 2: DO KONCA vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A | 78¢ | $1,096 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought DO KONCA | Dota 2: DO KONCA vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A | 73¢ | $2,275 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought DO KONCA | Dota 2: DO KONCA vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A | 73¢ | $7,565 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yellow Submarine | Dota 2: DO KONCA vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A | 32¢ | $89 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yellow Submarine | Dota 2: DO KONCA vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A | 36¢ | $100 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yellow Submarine | Dota 2: DO KONCA vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | 61¢ | $353 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yellow Submarine | Dota 2: DO KONCA vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | 35¢ | $200 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yellow Submarine | Dota 2: DO KONCA vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | 33¢ | $92 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yellow Submarine | Dota 2: DO KONCA vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | 36¢ | $100 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought LGD Gaming | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner | 85¢ | $5,000 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought LGD Gaming | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner | 86¢ | $5,000 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought LGD Gaming | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner | 86¢ | $130 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought LGD Gaming | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner | 84¢ | $472 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.