Traders › SnakeBall
SnakeBall: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xc291…5d74 · Tailwhale rank #111 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
52/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+6.3 pts
Win rate
64% of positions
Markets traded
1,706 in 180 days
PnL: $134,404 this month · ROI on closed positions 5.0%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
52.1 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 50/100 | 20.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +6.3 pts on 2086 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 17/100 | 3.3 | Return with the three best positions removed (+3.3%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 50/100 | 7.5 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 75/100 | 11.2 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1706 | 10.0 | 1706 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +6.3 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 2086 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +6.3 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 64% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $598,365 |
| esports | −$17,578 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Bought No | Exact Score: Real Madrid CF Femenino 1 - 1 AFC Ajax? | 96¢ | $48 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought Under | Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5 | 87¢ | $20 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought Eternal Fire | Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Playoffs | 60¢ | $21 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought Yes | Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-09-02? | 70¢ | $11 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought Yes | Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-09-02? | 70¢ | $11 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought No | FC Tōkyō to win the second half? | 44¢ | $68 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought No | FC Tōkyō to win the second half? | 44¢ | $68 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought No | FC Tōkyō to win the second half? | 44¢ | $68 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought No | Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw? | 97¢ | $16 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought No | Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw? | 98¢ | $79 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought No | Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-09-02? | 91¢ | $48 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought No | Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw? | 97¢ | $14 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought Under | FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5 | 93¢ | $18 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought No | Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-09-02? | 93¢ | $21 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bought No | Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-09-02? | 93¢ | $29 |
Get alerts when SnakeBall trades, and see what copying them would really have returned, in the Tailwhale iPhone app. Download on the App Store (coming soon).
The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.