Traders › spyGoodLuck77
spyGoodLuck77: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xa209…ffbe · Tailwhale rank #82 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
57/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+2.5 pts
Win rate
58% of positions
Markets traded
2,306 in 180 days
PnL: $67,547 this month · ROI on closed positions 9.7%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
57.4 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 36/100 | 14.3 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.5 pts on 2598 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 28/100 | 5.6 | Return with the three best positions removed (+5.6%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 83/100 | 12.5 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 2306 | 10.0 | 2306 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +2.5 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 2598 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +2.5 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 58% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $213,307 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Worthing FC win on 2026-11-14? | 38¢ | $148 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Kosovo win on 2026-11-14? | 49¢ | $110 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Israel win on 2026-11-14? | 21¢ | $109 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-14? | 81¢ | $3,000 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? | 84¢ | $3,000 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-14? | 44¢ | $165 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? | 60¢ | $67 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-11-14? | 84¢ | $10 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Central Espanol FC win on 2026-11-14? | 69¢ | $28 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-14? | 45¢ | $333 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? | 70¢ | $106 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-11-14? | 90¢ | $16 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Fujieda MYFC win on 2026-11-14? | 67¢ | $37 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Ventforet Kōfu win on 2026-11-14? | 27¢ | $729 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-14? | 74¢ | $354 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.