Traders › The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x0c0e…434e · Tailwhale rank #188 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
41/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+0.2 pts
Win rate
69% of positions
Markets traded
461 in 180 days
PnL: $374,278 this month · $1,993,344 all time · ROI on closed positions 10.5%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
40.6 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +0.2 pts on 392 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 32/100 | 6.4 | Return with the three best positions removed (+6.4%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 83/100 | 12.5 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 86/100 | 12.9 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 461 | 8.9 | 461 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +0.2 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 392 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +0.4 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 69% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $1,161,329 |
| crypto | $156,042 |
| finance | $68,644 |
| tech | $9,428 |
| sports | $5,223 |
| culture | −$30,526 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | 99¢ | $10,322 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | 99¢ | $506 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $315 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1¢ | $107 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | 92¢ | $21,164 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | 99¢ | $107 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | 99¢ | $20,886 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | 99¢ | $534 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | 99¢ | $21,551 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | 89¢ | $73,791 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 92¢ | $25,994 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | 98¢ | $2,138 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | 97¢ | $175 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | 93¢ | $665 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | 94¢ | $193 |
Open positions in top markets
| Market | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | $121,061 | 89¢ |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | $2,553 | 96¢ |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $2,484 | 1¢ |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $636 | 1¢ |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.