Traders › theowalcott
theowalcott: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x7ad7…42aa · Tailwhale rank #199 by skill · ★★☆☆☆
Skill Score
39/100 · 2★
Beat the odds
+2.7 pts
Win rate
52% of positions
Markets traded
255 in 180 days
PnL: – · $882,570 all time · ROI on closed positions 8.0%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 2 stars: the score breakdown
39 out of 100 → 2★ (20–39.9 = 2★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 20/100 | 7.8 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.7 pts on 255 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 11/100 | 2.2 | Return with the three best positions removed (+2.2%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 40/100 | 6.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 255 | 8.0 | 255 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +2.7 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 255 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +2.7 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 52% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $882,570 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Under | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5 | 42¢ | $1,662 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Under | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 3.5 | 42¢ | $2,631 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Yes | Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-11-02? | 30¢ | $7,519 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Yes | Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-11-02? | 31¢ | $9,273 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought No | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01? | 55¢ | $7,146 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought No | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01? | 55¢ | $10,700 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought No | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01? | 54¢ | $6,943 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought No | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01? | 54¢ | $6,574 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought No | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01? | 55¢ | $4,642 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought No | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01? | 53¢ | $15,002 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought No | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-11-01? | 52¢ | $6,766 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought Over | Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 | 38¢ | $7,354 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought Yes | Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? | 38¢ | $5,420 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought No | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-11-01? | 45¢ | $1,101 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought No | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-11-01? | 45¢ | $3,748 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.