Traders › TMingchan
TMingchan: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xe567…4fcb · Tailwhale rank #122 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
50/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+5.7 pts
Win rate
56% of positions
Markets traded
96 in 180 days
PnL: $82,843 this month · ROI on closed positions 9.7%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
50.4 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 28/100 | 11.2 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +5.7 pts on 97 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 13/100 | 2.5 | Return with the three best positions removed (+2.5%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 96 | 6.6 | 96 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +5.7 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 97 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +5.7 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 56% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $80,269 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Grizzlies | Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) | 54¢ | $10,800 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Raptors | Spread: 76ers (-7.5) | 51¢ | $5,082 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Raptors | Spread: 76ers (-7.5) | 49¢ | $985 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Jazz | Spread: Magic (-4.5) | 52¢ | $10,400 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought Hawks | Spread: Hawks (-1.5) | 53¢ | $10,600 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought Heat | Spread: Heat (-6.5) | 47¢ | $14,120 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought Spurs | Spread: Spurs (-12.5) | 50¢ | $5,233 |
| 2026-11-03 | Bought Heat | Spread: Lakers (-1.5) | 48¢ | $9,600 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Cavaliers | Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | 49¢ | $10,513 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought Nets | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | 50¢ | $7,635 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought Celtics | Spread: Celtics (-7.5) | 52¢ | $10,400 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought Raptors | Spread: Lakers (-3.5) | 53¢ | $7,241 |
| 2026-11-01 | Bought Raptors | Spread: Lakers (-2.5) | 49¢ | $1,709 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.