Traders › vanjie
vanjie: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xc1da…fefa · Tailwhale rank #151 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
46/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
−3.4 pts
Win rate
44% of positions
Markets traded
41 in 180 days
PnL: – · $1,490,474 all time · ROI on closed positions 39.1%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
46 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: -3.4 pts on 41 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 53/100 | 10.6 | Return with the three best positions removed (+10.6%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 41 | 5.4 | 41 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | -3.4 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 41 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | -3.4 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 44% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Calibration counted as zero because beat-the-odds is negative.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $1,490,474 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Bought No | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | 56¢ | $41,665 |
| 2026-06-28 | Bought Over | Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 41¢ | $13,713 |
| 2026-06-28 | Bought Over | Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 41¢ | $19,940 |
| 2026-06-28 | Bought Over | Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 42¢ | $11,078 |
| 2026-06-28 | Bought Over | Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 41¢ | $16,125 |
| 2026-06-28 | Bought Over | Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 43¢ | $10,575 |
| 2026-06-27 | Bought Under | Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | 44¢ | $7,759 |
| 2026-06-27 | Bought Under | Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | 44¢ | $2,262 |
| 2026-06-27 | Bought Under | Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | 44¢ | $25,963 |
| 2026-06-27 | Bought Argentina | Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | 45¢ | $20,319 |
| 2026-06-27 | Bought Argentina | Spread: Argentina (-3.5) | 25¢ | $7,500 |
| 2026-06-27 | Bought Argentina | Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | 44¢ | $1,574 |
| 2026-06-27 | Bought Argentina | Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | 43¢ | $3,754 |
| 2026-06-27 | Bought Under | Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5 | 38¢ | $2,484 |
| 2026-06-27 | Bought Belgium | Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | 45¢ | $66,226 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.