Traders › vibing123
vibing123: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x6b97…8d30 · Tailwhale rank #40 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
76/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+7.7 pts
Win rate
60% of positions
Markets traded
2,855 in 180 days
PnL: $64,357 this month · ROI on closed positions 11.0%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
75.5 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 100/100 | 40.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +7.7 pts on 2926 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 53/100 | 10.5 | Return with the three best positions removed (+10.5%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 33/100 | 5.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 67/100 | 10.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 2855 | 10.0 | 2855 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +7.7 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 2926 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +7.7 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 60% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| esports | $303,401 |
| weather | −$4,879 |
| sports | −$129,938 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 54-55°F on November 16? | 70¢ | $93 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Nishesh Basavareddy | Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Daniel Altmaier | 55¢ | $311 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 56-57°F on November 16? | 83¢ | $33 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on November 16? | 79¢ | $16 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 54-55°F on November 16? | 70¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 56-57°F on November 16? | 83¢ | $41 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 56-57°F on November 16? | 84¢ | $34 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 54-55°F on November 16? | 70¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 54-55°F on November 16? | 69¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 58-59°F on November 16? | 65¢ | $19 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 54-55°F on November 16? | 70¢ | $28 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on November 16? | 79¢ | $297 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on November 16? | 87¢ | $113 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 60-61°F on November 16? | 76¢ | $189 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 16? | 87¢ | $15 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.