Traders › zerone777
zerone777: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xe949…dea6 · Tailwhale rank #33 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
78/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+2.4 pts
Win rate
36% of positions
Markets traded
1,786 in 180 days
PnL: $288,128 this month · ROI on closed positions 31.7%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
77.6 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 50/100 | 20.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.4 pts on 1445 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 88/100 | 17.6 | Return with the three best positions removed (+17.6%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1786 | 10.0 | 1786 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +2.4 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1445 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +3.1 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 36% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $28,733 |
| finance | $6,657 |
| culture | $3,247 |
| tech | $1,771 |
| sports | $1,437 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the Republicans win the Kentucky governor race in 2027? | 27¢ | $28 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | 70¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | 97¢ | $3,093 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | 12¢ | $383 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | 74¢ | $769 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | 37¢ | $425 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | 27¢ | $13 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will NVIDIA's next CEO be an external candidate? | 56¢ | $47 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will no new permanent NVIDIA CEO be named by December 31, 2028? | 95¢ | $79 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 92¢ | $172 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | 87¢ | $194 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026? | 61¢ | $104 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | 11¢ | $106 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold Yes | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | 55¢ | $34 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026? | 60¢ | $102 |
Get alerts when zerone777 trades, and see what copying them would really have returned, in the Tailwhale iPhone app. Download on the App Store (coming soon).
The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.