Traders › zerosmart
zerosmart: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x2755…5016 · Tailwhale rank #86 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
57/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+23.7 pts
Win rate
71% of positions
Markets traded
24 in 180 days
PnL: – · $934,269 all time · ROI on closed positions 45.6%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
56.5 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 61/100 | 24.2 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +23.7 pts on 23 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 3/100 | 0.7 | Return with the three best positions removed (+0.7%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 80/100 | 12.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 24 | 4.6 | 24 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +23.7 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 23 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +23.6 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 71% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $937,807 |
| culture | $6,600 |
| crypto | $6,032 |
| sports | $1,003 |
| finance | −$12,649 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | 17¢ | $946 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in November? | 89¢ | $467 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November? | 12¢ | $67 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November? | 80¢ | $3,876 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in November? | 92¢ | $2,087 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November? | 64¢ | $229 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in November? | 40¢ | $2,475 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November? | 12¢ | $397 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought No | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | 90¢ | $1,220 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | 70¢ | $84 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | 88¢ | $2,840 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in November? | 93¢ | $1,362 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in November? | 90¢ | $537 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in November? | 84¢ | $2,100 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought No | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November? | 73¢ | $1,819 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.