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0x6e82…752c: Polymarket trader record

Wallet 0x6e82…752c · Tailwhale rank #16 by skill · ★★★★★

Skill Score

86/100 · 5★

Beat the odds

+19.3 pts

Win rate

71% of positions

Markets traded

48 in 180 days

PnL: – · $1,569,402 all time · ROI on closed positions 75.6%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.

Why 5 stars: the score breakdown

86.1 out of 100 → 5★ (80–100 = 5★; every 20 points is one star).

PartWeightValuePointsWhat it means
Edge40%76/10030.5Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +19.3 pts on 49 resolved positions.
Robustness20%100/10020.0Return with the three best positions removed (+29.0%); full marks at +20%.
Breadth15%100/10015.0Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable.
Consistency15%100/10015.0Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit.
Markets traded10%485.648 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000.
Beat the odds–+19.3 pts–Average of outcome minus entry price over 49 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result.
Calibration–+19.3 pts–Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points.
Win rate–71%–Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little).

Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.

Category record

CategoryAll-time PnL
sports$1,524,595
politics$15,684
culture$13,721

Recent trades

Date (UTC)SideMarketPriceSize
2026-07-31Sold YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?85¢$1,555
2026-07-31Bought YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?53¢$17,512
2026-07-30Bought YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?50¢$1,635
2026-07-29Bought YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?46¢$1,593
2026-07-29Bought Indiana FeverSpread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)51¢$13,547
2026-07-29Bought Indiana FeverSpread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)50¢$1,676
2026-07-29Bought Indiana FeverSpread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)50¢$1,980
2026-07-29Bought Indiana FeverSpread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)50¢$7,217
2026-07-29Bought Indiana FeverSpread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)50¢$16,767
2026-07-27Bought Indiana FeverIndiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm79¢$5,978
2026-07-27Bought YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?46¢$4,596
2026-07-27Bought YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?45¢$4,201
2026-07-22Bought UnderSan Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.548¢$2,880
2026-07-20Bought New York LibertyNew York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings64¢$21,488
2026-07-20Bought New York LibertyNew York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings64¢$19,917

Open positions in top markets

MarketOutcomeValueAvg entry
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No$54,43766¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$21,2825¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1,41716¢

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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.