Traders › Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x122c…fbed · Tailwhale rank #78 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
59/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+1.6 pts
Win rate
58% of positions
Markets traded
1,382 in 180 days
PnL: $77,604 this month · ROI on closed positions 0.9%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
58.5 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 50/100 | 20.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +1.6 pts on 1221 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 3/100 | 0.7 | Return with the three best positions removed (+0.7%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 86/100 | 12.9 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 1382 | 10.0 | 1382 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +1.6 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 1221 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +1.5 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 58% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| sports | $93,154 |
| politics | $47,703 |
| weather | $18,100 |
| culture | $15,887 |
| tech | $6,959 |
| finance | $1,341 |
| crypto | −$2,398 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? | 65¢ | $40 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026? | 10¢ | $28 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? | 60¢ | $23 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15? | 97¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? | 56¢ | $35 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? | 57¢ | $36 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? | 54¢ | $31 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? | 55¢ | $64 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? | 48¢ | $15 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? | 50¢ | $25 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? | 48¢ | $41 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? | 45¢ | $23 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? | 35¢ | $30 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? | 32¢ | $56 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? | 40¢ | $22 |
Open positions in top markets
| Market | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | $1,229 | 80¢ |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.