Traders › GAMBLINGISCANCER69
GAMBLINGISCANCER69: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x9c56…78d1 · Tailwhale rank #30 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
80/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+15.9 pts
Win rate
64% of positions
Markets traded
90 in 180 days
PnL: $156,503 this month · ROI on closed positions 31.9%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
79.5 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 78/100 | 31.3 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +15.9 pts on 89 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 83/100 | 16.7 | Return with the three best positions removed (+16.7%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 67/100 | 10.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 90 | 6.5 | 90 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +15.9 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 89 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +15.8 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 64% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| esports | $202,252 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) AND LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | 16¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) AND LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | 16¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) AND Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | 23¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner AND Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | 44¢ | $15 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) AND LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | 16¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) AND Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | 23¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) AND Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | 22¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner AND Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | 43¢ | $15 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) AND Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | 23¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) AND LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | 16¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner AND Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | 44¢ | $15 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) AND Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | 23¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) AND LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | 16¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) AND Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | 23¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner AND Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) | 44¢ | $15 |
Open positions in top markets
| Market | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $56,340 | 50¢ |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $33,660 | 50¢ |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.