Markets โ€บ Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Smart money on Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Odds now: Yes 37% ยท No 63% ยท Volume $17,366,298 ยท Ends 2028-11-08

Skilled wallets

14 with 3โ˜…+ and $100+ held

Skilled money

$415,382

Consensus

No ยท 66% of skilled money

Top-skill positions

TraderStarsOutcomeValueAvg entry
borntoolate.ethโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†No$131,46051ยข
lastminwinโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†No$75,12064ยข
borntoolate.ethโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†Yes$71,38550ยข
GAMBLINGISCANCER69โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†No$56,34050ยข
GAMBLINGISCANCER69โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†Yes$33,66050ยข
0xcf19โ€ฆ6402โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†Yes$21,67336ยข
Gucky-45โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…No$9,20350ยข
RememberAmalekโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†Yes$7,48040ยข
Gucky-45โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…Yes$5,49850ยข
0xc7d0โ€ฆ1f8aโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†No$1,43366ยข
pleaseletmealoneโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†Yes$1,2121ยข
Kickstand7โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†No$38750ยข
Carโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†Yes$29933ยข
Kickstand7โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†Yes$23150ยข

Positions from the public Data API, snapshot 2026-11-14. Skilled = ranked 3โ˜…+ on Tailwhale's Skill Score. Smart money can be wrong; this describes positions, not outcomes.

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