Traders › NyetRisk
NyetRisk: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xc03c…50af · Tailwhale rank #114 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
52/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+1.1 pts
Win rate
20% of positions
Markets traded
217 in 180 days
PnL: $90,993 this month · ROI on closed positions 42.4%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
51.8 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 9/100 | 3.4 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +1.1 pts on 219 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 68/100 | 13.6 | Return with the three best positions removed (+13.6%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 80/100 | 12.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 217 | 7.8 | 217 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +1.1 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 219 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +1.1 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 20% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $197,050 |
| sports | $2,688 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | 43¢ | $13 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | 43¢ | $17 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold Yes | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | 32¢ | $13 |
| 2026-11-11 | Sold Yes | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 66¢ | $28 |
| 2026-11-11 | Sold Yes | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 66¢ | $59 |
| 2026-11-11 | Sold Yes | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 23¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-11 | Sold Yes | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 66¢ | $26 |
| 2026-11-11 | Sold Yes | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 65¢ | $16 |
| 2026-11-11 | Sold Yes | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 65¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-11 | Sold Yes | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 65¢ | $16 |
| 2026-11-11 | Sold Yes | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | 33¢ | $13 |
| 2026-11-11 | Sold Yes | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | 43¢ | $17 |
| 2026-11-10 | Sold Yes | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 25¢ | $35 |
| 2026-11-10 | Sold Yes | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 64¢ | $88 |
| 2026-11-10 | Sold Yes | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 25¢ | $28 |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.