Traders › Parz1vaI
Parz1vaI: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xb100…6461 · Tailwhale rank #161 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
44/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+0.9 pts
Win rate
72% of positions
Markets traded
875 in 180 days
PnL: $99,997 this month · $883,036 all time · ROI on closed positions 3.9%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
43.8 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 16/100 | 6.6 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +0.9 pts on 910 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 9/100 | 1.8 | Return with the three best positions removed (+1.8%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 71/100 | 10.7 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 875 | 9.8 | 875 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +0.9 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 910 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +1.0 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 72% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $372,787 |
| crypto | $120,007 |
| culture | $87,628 |
| sports | $86,205 |
| esports | $55,207 |
| tech | $50,948 |
| finance | $46,525 |
| weather | $2,479 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2027? | 30¢ | $320 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? | 48¢ | $123 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? | 86¢ | $2,960 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | 97¢ | $2,344 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? | 40¢ | $68 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold Yes | Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | 7¢ | $137 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Will Colette Kress be the next CEO of NVIDIA? | 90¢ | $5,058 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | FAA outage attributed to AI? | 67¢ | $10 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2027? | 29¢ | $112 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2027? | 30¢ | $43 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2027? | 28¢ | $2,013 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | 80¢ | $1,086 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? | 40¢ | $250 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? | 37¢ | $140 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | 74¢ | $622 |
Open positions in top markets
| Market | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $25,239 | 90¢ |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.