Markets โ€บ Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Smart money on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Odds now: Yes 8% ยท No 92% ยท Volume $80,183,889 ยท Ends 2027-01-01

Skilled wallets

14 with 3โ˜…+ and $100+ held

Skilled money

$649,957

Consensus

No ยท 100% of skilled money

Top-skill positions

TraderStarsOutcomeValueAvg entry
cocos228โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†No$124,84476ยข
Tigerofthehoodโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†No$112,58684ยข
thoodrโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†No$88,06083ยข
Anjunโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†No$71,94485ยข
AllByMyseIfโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†No$64,75092ยข
Dropperโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†No$59,87879ยข
mr.oziโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†No$46,85488ยข
0xdf17โ€ฆ97d1โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†No$26,35387ยข
Parz1vaIโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†No$25,23990ยข
Carโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†No$13,88086ยข
Ryxon21โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†No$8,51876ยข
StarMasterโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†No$4,62588ยข
dromedaryyโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†Yes$2,28210ยข
0xc7d0โ€ฆ1f8aโ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜†โ˜†Yes$14322ยข

Positions from the public Data API, snapshot 2026-11-14. Skilled = ranked 3โ˜…+ on Tailwhale's Skill Score. Smart money can be wrong; this describes positions, not outcomes.

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See the market on Polymarket ยท How skill is scored