Traders › Ryxon21
Ryxon21: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x3dca…3c13 · Tailwhale rank #67 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
61/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+6.2 pts
Win rate
74% of positions
Markets traded
448 in 180 days
PnL: $77,098 this month · ROI on closed positions 11.9%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
60.8 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 56/100 | 22.4 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +6.2 pts on 489 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 30/100 | 6.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (+6.0%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 57/100 | 8.6 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 448 | 8.8 | 448 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +6.2 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 489 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +6.0 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 74% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $140,528 |
| sports | $26,535 |
| culture | $1,688 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will voter turnout be 70% or higher in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 42¢ | $133 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 18¢ | $122 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 18¢ | $77 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 18¢ | $1,808 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought No | Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 15¢ | $37 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought Yes | Will PSOE win 120 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 20¢ | $441 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought Yes | Will PSOE win 120 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 18¢ | $100 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought Yes | Spain General Election: PSOE gains seats? | 20¢ | $61 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought Yes | Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 13¢ | $1,200 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Yes | Will Vox win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 27¢ | $258 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Yes | Will PSOE win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election? | 40¢ | $450 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought Yes | Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? | 90¢ | $15 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought Yes | Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? | 87¢ | $500 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought Yes | Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | 87¢ | $230 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought Yes | Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | 84¢ | $500 |
Open positions in top markets
| Market | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $29,235 | 90¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $8,518 | 76¢ |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.