Traders › SlavaUkraini
SlavaUkraini: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0xe899…0899 · Tailwhale rank #55 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
67/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+14.1 pts
Win rate
79% of positions
Markets traded
60 in 180 days
PnL: $284,179 this month · $1,014,814 all time · ROI on closed positions 18.3%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
67 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 70/100 | 27.8 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +14.1 pts on 57 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 35/100 | 7.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (+7.0%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 75/100 | 11.2 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 60 | 5.9 | 60 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +14.1 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 57 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +13.9 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 79% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $874,691 |
| culture | $81,609 |
| crypto | $23,217 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | Sold Yes | Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | 84¢ | $38,681 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought Yes | 244 or fewer votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot? | 17¢ | $107 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Yes | Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | 92¢ | $8,820 |
| 2026-11-08 | Sold Yes | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 26¢ | $7,328 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought Yes | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 3¢ | $568 |
| 2026-11-05 | Bought No | Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? | 71¢ | $507 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought Yes | Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | 10¢ | $711 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought Yes | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | 23¢ | $517 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought Yes | Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | 31¢ | $1,869 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought Yes | Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat? | 88¢ | $1,782 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought Yes | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | 89¢ | $700 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought Yes | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | 90¢ | $3,980 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought Yes | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | 64¢ | $3,404 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought Yes | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | 63¢ | $1,731 |
| 2026-11-03 | Bought Yes | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | 39¢ | $3,889 |
Open positions in top markets
| Market | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $723 | 3¢ |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $652 | 5¢ |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $543 | 2¢ |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.