Traders › Tigerofthehood
Tigerofthehood: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x9c26…74bc · Tailwhale rank #110 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
52/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+2.7 pts
Win rate
84% of positions
Markets traded
148 in 180 days
PnL: $65,484 this month · ROI on closed positions 2.2%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
52.4 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 45/100 | 18.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.7 pts on 141 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 7/100 | 1.4 | Return with the three best positions removed (+1.4%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 71/100 | 10.7 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 148 | 7.2 | 148 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +2.7 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 141 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +2.5 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 84% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $315,984 |
| finance | $12,219 |
| tech | $3,621 |
| weather | $1,769 |
| culture | $1,014 |
| crypto | −$14,069 |
| sports | −$33,678 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 93¢ | $1,395 |
| 2026-11-10 | Bought Yes | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | 98¢ | $464 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought No | Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election? | 94¢ | $452 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Yes | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | 98¢ | $1,906 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Yes | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | 98¢ | $268 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought No | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | 98¢ | $122 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bought Yes | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | 98¢ | $477 |
| 2026-11-04 | Sold No | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | 98¢ | $173 |
| 2026-11-04 | Sold No | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | 98¢ | $118 |
| 2026-11-04 | Sold Yes | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | 98¢ | $1,940 |
| 2026-11-03 | Bought Yes | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 98¢ | $196 |
| 2026-11-02 | Sold No | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | 68¢ | $7,480 |
| 2026-10-31 | Bought Yes | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | 100¢ | $3,996 |
| 2026-10-31 | Bought No | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | 95¢ | $23,356 |
| 2026-10-30 | Bought Yes | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 98¢ | $7,808 |
Open positions in top markets
| Market | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $112,586 | 84¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | $14,754 | 89¢ |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.