Traders › AllByMyseIf
AllByMyseIf: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x5188…c804 · Tailwhale rank #181 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
42/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+0.5 pts
Win rate
71% of positions
Markets traded
331 in 180 days
PnL: $132,749 this month · ROI on closed positions 3.5%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
41.7 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 10/100 | 3.9 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +0.5 pts on 346 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 7/100 | 1.5 | Return with the three best positions removed (+1.5%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 86/100 | 12.9 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 331 | 8.4 | 331 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +0.5 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 346 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +0.8 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 71% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $501,363 |
| crypto | $33,677 |
| culture | $33,586 |
| tech | $9,193 |
| sports | $8,227 |
| weather | $5,309 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | 34¢ | $105 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | 23¢ | $1,188 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? | 62¢ | $1,176 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | 37¢ | $1,133 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought No | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | 82¢ | $10,273 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | 19¢ | $113 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | 11¢ | $634 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | 9¢ | $978 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027? | 82¢ | $153 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | 37¢ | $707 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought Yes | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? | 40¢ | $64 |
| 2026-11-11 | Sold Yes | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? | 42¢ | $262 |
| 2026-11-11 | Bought No | Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | 88¢ | $1,766 |
| 2026-11-10 | Sold No | Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | 63¢ | $192 |
| 2026-11-09 | Bought No | Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? | 26¢ | $52 |
Open positions in top markets
| Market | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $143,905 | 50¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $64,750 | 92¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $26,095 | 50¢ |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | $180 | 7¢ |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.