Markets › Presidential Election Winner 2028
Smart money on Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Odds now: Yes 15% · No 85% · Volume $19,343,526 · Ends 2028-11-08
Skilled wallets
12 with 3★+ and $100+ held
Skilled money
$5,299,727
Consensus
No · 85% of skilled money
Top-skill positions
| Trader | Stars | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| elmcap2 | ★★★☆☆ | No | $3,809,250 | 50¢ |
| elmcap2 | ★★★☆☆ | Yes | $690,750 | 50¢ |
| Anjun | ★★★☆☆ | No | $253,950 | 50¢ |
| lastminwin | ★★★☆☆ | No | $206,570 | 80¢ |
| AllByMyseIf | ★★★☆☆ | No | $143,905 | 50¢ |
| ifyouloveme | ★★★★☆ | No | $76,185 | 50¢ |
| Anjun | ★★★☆☆ | Yes | $46,050 | 50¢ |
| AllByMyseIf | ★★★☆☆ | Yes | $26,095 | 50¢ |
| DavidShekel | ★★★☆☆ | No | $25,337 | 50¢ |
| ifyouloveme | ★★★★☆ | Yes | $13,815 | 50¢ |
| DavidShekel | ★★★☆☆ | Yes | $4,595 | 50¢ |
| RememberAmalek | ★★★☆☆ | No | $3,226 | 76¢ |
Positions from the public Data API, snapshot 2026-11-14. Skilled = ranked 3★+ on Tailwhale's Skill Score. Smart money can be wrong; this describes positions, not outcomes.
Get alerts when skilled traders move in this market, and track its odds on your Lock Screen, in the Tailwhale iPhone app. Download on the App Store (coming soon).