Traders › Anjun
Anjun: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x4337…8882 · Tailwhale rank #109 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
53/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+0.9 pts
Win rate
51% of positions
Markets traded
2,184 in 180 days
PnL: $337,189 this month · $837,120 all time · ROI on closed positions 7.2%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
52.5 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 44/100 | 17.4 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +0.9 pts on 2355 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 15/100 | 3.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (+3.0%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 88/100 | 13.1 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 60/100 | 9.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 2184 | 10.0 | 2184 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +0.9 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 2355 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +1.0 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 51% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| esports | $327,165 |
| crypto | $170,696 |
| politics | $158,515 |
| culture | $114,205 |
| tech | $37,812 |
| finance | $22,052 |
| weather | $1,061 |
| sports | −$143,419 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | Bought No | Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final? | 98¢ | $15 |
| 2026-11-09 | Sold Bilibili Gaming | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner | 51¢ | $572 |
| 2026-11-08 | Sold T1 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | 43¢ | $3,659 |
| 2026-11-08 | Bought Under | Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 | 5¢ | $805 |
| 2026-11-06 | Sold Karmine Corp | LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | 4¢ | $103 |
| 2026-11-06 | Sold Karmine Corp | LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 4 Winner | 40¢ | $222 |
| 2026-11-06 | Bought Bilibili Gaming | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner | 52¢ | $8,089 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought No | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04? | 18¢ | $4,000 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought No | Will PFC Nasaf win on 2026-11-04? | 53¢ | $3,721 |
| 2026-11-04 | Bought Under | Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5 | 6¢ | $259 |
| 2026-11-03 | Bought Top Esports | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | 36¢ | $1,235 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Under | Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca: O/U 0.5 | 9¢ | $1,889 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Over | Al Sadd SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi FC: O/U 0.5 | 32¢ | $8,320 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Under | Al Sadd SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi FC: O/U 0.5 | 5¢ | $676 |
| 2026-11-02 | Bought Under | Al Sadd SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi FC: O/U 0.5 | 4¢ | $437 |
Open positions in top markets
| Market | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | $399,324 | 96¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $253,950 | 50¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $71,944 | 85¢ |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $58,512 | 84¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $46,050 | 50¢ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | $10,516 | 97¢ |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.