Traders › dromedaryy
dromedaryy: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x6575…b198 · Tailwhale rank #180 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
42/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+3.4 pts
Win rate
32% of positions
Markets traded
183 in 180 days
PnL: $110,308 this month · $696,448 all time · ROI on closed positions 17.1%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
41.7 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 18/100 | 7.2 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +3.4 pts on 195 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 6/100 | 1.3 | Return with the three best positions removed (+1.3%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 71/100 | 10.7 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 100/100 | 15.0 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 183 | 7.5 | 183 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +3.4 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 195 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +3.3 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 32% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| finance | $299,386 |
| politics | $232,685 |
| esports | $123,633 |
| sports | $45,515 |
| tech | $33,645 |
| culture | −$9,507 |
| crypto | −$24,622 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Falcons Esport | Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs FaZe Clan (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Osaka Phase 3 - Playoffs | 35¢ | $42 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Thunder | Thunder vs. Clippers | 40¢ | $20 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Illinois | Illinois vs. UCLA | 12¢ | $1,200 |
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 10:00 PM ET? | 10¢ | $5,968 |
| 2026-11-12 | Sold No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | 24¢ | $1,259 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 39¢ | $7,634 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 39¢ | $468 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 41¢ | $413 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 45¢ | $11,322 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 60¢ | $93 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 60¢ | $10,489 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | 56¢ | $6,727 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 71¢ | $95 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | 37¢ | $1,800 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | 36¢ | $7,380 |
Open positions in top markets
| Market | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | $90,803 | 56¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | $2,282 | 10¢ |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | $2,278 | 17¢ |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.