Traders › ifyouloveme
ifyouloveme: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x5a0d…fa97 · Tailwhale rank #59 by skill · ★★★★☆
Skill Score
64/100 · 4★
Beat the odds
+4.8 pts
Win rate
55% of positions
Markets traded
824 in 180 days
PnL: $102,418 this month · ROI on closed positions 15.1%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 4 stars: the score breakdown
63.9 out of 100 → 4★ (60–79.9 = 4★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 50/100 | 20.0 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +4.8 pts on 807 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 55/100 | 10.9 | Return with the three best positions removed (+10.9%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 80/100 | 12.0 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 75/100 | 11.2 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 824 | 9.7 | 824 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +4.8 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 807 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +4.4 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 55% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $47,952 |
| tech | $11,912 |
| finance | $3,107 |
| culture | $1,265 |
| sports | −$1,904 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Bought Yes | Gemini Krypton released by January 31, 2027? | 81¢ | $669 |
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028? | 30¢ | $100 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold No | Will Gemini Krypton debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher? | 7¢ | $71 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Gemini Krypton debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher? | 8¢ | $79 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | FAA outage attributed to Iran? | 96¢ | $125 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2028? | 82¢ | $89 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026? | 91¢ | $64 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 10%-15%? | 99¢ | $220 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought No | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? | 71¢ | $127 |
| 2026-11-13 | Sold Yes | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? | 32¢ | $385 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 0¢ | $1,000 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31? | 88¢ | $99 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31? | 89¢ | $80 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 15, 2026? | 97¢ | $332 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 12, 2026? | 100¢ | $30 |
Open positions in top markets
| Market | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $76,185 | 50¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $13,815 | 50¢ |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $6,333 | 2¢ |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | $2,731 | 75¢ |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $1,619 | 14¢ |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $750 | 0¢ |
Get alerts when ifyouloveme trades, and see what copying them would really have returned, in the Tailwhale iPhone app. Download on the App Store (coming soon).
The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.