Traders › RememberAmalek
RememberAmalek: Polymarket trader record
Wallet 0x6139…6b7a · Tailwhale rank #143 by skill · ★★★☆☆
Skill Score
47/100 · 3★
Beat the odds
+2.4 pts
Win rate
50% of positions
Markets traded
721 in 180 days
PnL: $186,754 this month · $1,043,888 all time · ROI on closed positions -0.3%. Data snapshot 2026-11-14.
Why 3 stars: the score breakdown
46.8 out of 100 → 3★ (40–59.9 = 3★; every 20 points is one star).
| Part | Weight | Value | Points | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edge | 40% | 39/100 | 15.6 | Half from how consistently positions made money, half from beating the market's own odds (calibration). Beat the odds: +2.4 pts on 768 resolved positions. |
| Robustness | 20% | 0/100 | 0.0 | Return with the three best positions removed (-3.6%); full marks at +20%. |
| Breadth | 15% | 88/100 | 13.1 | Share of categories traded (≥ $1k PnL either way) that are profitable. |
| Consistency | 15% | 57/100 | 8.6 | Share of active months (3+ positions) that ended in profit. |
| Markets traded | 10% | 721 | 9.5 | 721 distinct markets in 180 days; full marks at 1,000. |
| Beat the odds | – | +2.4 pts | – | Average of outcome minus entry price over 768 positions in resolved markets (exits before resolution count half). Positive = bought cheaper than the eventual result. |
| Calibration | – | +2.4 pts | – | Average profit per share bought, over all positions, in price points. |
| Win rate | – | 50% | – | Share of positions closed in profit (not part of the score: a high win rate on favourites says little). |
Gates passed: at least 20 markets, no single win above half of profits, no market-maker pattern.
Category record
| Category | All-time PnL |
|---|---|
| politics | $655,872 |
| crypto | $57,470 |
| culture | $48,607 |
| esports | $18,134 |
| sports | $16,998 |
| weather | $4,785 |
| tech | $2,023 |
| finance | −$21,979 |
Recent trades
| Date (UTC) | Side | Market | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | Sold No | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31? | 91¢ | $118 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? | 4¢ | $31 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | 7¢ | $31 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Trump meets with Kim Jong Un by December 31, 2026? | 7¢ | $11 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 34¢ | $150 |
| 2026-11-13 | Bought Yes | Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? | 37¢ | $6,992 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | 100¢ | $4,985 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 34¢ | $2,798 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? | 35¢ | $14 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought No | Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026? | 69¢ | $6,900 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1¢ | $11 |
| 2026-11-12 | Bought Yes | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | 3¢ | $22 |
| 2026-11-10 | Sold Yes | Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | 73¢ | $48 |
| 2026-11-10 | Sold Yes | Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | 73¢ | $89 |
| 2026-11-10 | Sold Yes | Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | 78¢ | $129 |
Open positions in top markets
| Market | Outcome | Value | Avg entry |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | $110,508 | 30¢ |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | $27,731 | 50¢ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | $27,046 | 50¢ |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $13,620 | 50¢ |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $9,769 | 50¢ |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $9,676 | 6¢ |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | $8,995 | 50¢ |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $7,480 | 40¢ |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $6,023 | 7¢ |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $3,226 | 76¢ |
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The Skill Score is Tailwhale's own estimate from public data (how it works). Past results don't predict future returns. Public profile on Polymarket.